The climate change problem can be seen as less a problem in physics
than in information theory.
The classical problem in information theory, also known in its early
days as "cybernetics", is decision making under uncertainty. The
mathematics of the field were worked out as a foundation of digital
machine design, as the propagation of a bit of information from one
device to another necessarily requires an automated decision about the
polarity of that bit. The founders of cybernetics became famous for
suggesting that their approach could be extended to a vast array of
problems, and indeed attempts have been made in a wide variety of
applications to apply rigorous cybernetic theory. However, despite the
aspirations of the field's founders, the ideas have not penetrated
into governance.
The climate problem is the first and probably not the last problem
where new criteria for management of highly complex systems intrudes
upon evolved social mechanisms. For civilization to emerge from this
problem relatively intact will require the world to collectively
develop new skills. Whole system thinking, an idea much praised in the
mid 20th century, cannot be seen as a fading intellectual fashion. We
need cross-disciplinary rigor of new sorts.
In this talk, Michael Tobis, a geophysicist at the University of Texas
Institute for Geophysics in Austin, and a long time devotee of both
computer science and of information theory, will outline the climate
policy problem from a whole systems point of view, emphasizing some
points where the information sciences may have a considerable role in
untangling the quandary. |