Computing the posterior for i given the rest
• We need to compute the difference
between the  energy of the whole
network when i is on and the
energy when i is off.
– Then   the posterior probability
for i is:
• Changing the state of i changes
two kinds of energy term:
– how well the parents of i
predict the state of i
– How well i and its spouses
predict the state of each
descendant of i.
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i
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