 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
| |
What if we only
tossed the coin once and we got
|
|
1 head?
|
|
|
|
|
Is
p=1 a sensible answer?
|
|
|
|
|
Surely
p=0.5 is a much better answer.
|
|
|
| |
Is it reasonable
to give a single answer?
|
|
|
|
|
If
we dont have much data, we are unsure
|
|
|
about
p.
|
|
|
|
|
Our computations of probabilities will
work
|
|
|
much
better if we take this uncertainty into
|
|
|
account.
|
|